In a move that could reshape Iowa's political landscape, Rep. Ashley Hinson, a Republican from Iowa, has hinted at a potential run for the U.S. Senate in 2026.
According to The Hill, following Sen. Joni Ernst's announcement of her retirement on Tuesday, Sept. 2, 2025, Hinson's tease of a Senate candidacy has sparked interest in what could be a competitive race for an open seat as Democrats aim to reclaim the Senate majority.
Reports surfaced last week suggesting that Sen. Joni Ernst, also a Republican from Iowa, might not seek reelection in the 2026 midterms. Those speculations were confirmed when Ernst formally announced her retirement on Sept. 2, 2025. She stated her decision was not made lightly, emphasizing her deep affection for her state and country.
“I will not be seeking reelection in 2026,” Ernst said. “This was no easy decision,” she added. “I love my state and country.” On the same day, Rep. Ashley Hinson publicly acknowledged Ernst’s contributions, commending her dedication to Iowa and the nation. “Service defines Senator Joni Ernst — from serving her country in uniform to fiercely fighting for Iowans in the U.S. Senate,” Hinson remarked. “Her story — from Red Oak to the Senate — is a powerful example of the American dream.”
“Our country and state are better off because of Joni’s selfless service — I lead a heartfelt thank you from every Iowan,” Hinson continued. Alongside her tribute, Hinson signaled her interest in possibly stepping into the Senate role. She hinted at an upcoming announcement regarding her plans to serve Iowa and support national priorities.
“Matt and I will have an announcement soon about how we believe we can best serve Iowa, and how we can help President Trump make America great again,” Hinson stated. Hinson, known for her strong alignment with President Donald Trump, emphasized her commitment to his policies. “As we look forward, President Trump needs a fighter in the Senate who will always have his back to continue to cut spending, deport illegal aliens, and put working families first,” she said.
“I’ve stood shoulder to shoulder with the President to pass this America First agenda in the House, and I would be his strongest ally in the Senate,” Hinson added. Her potential candidacy comes as political observers note her favorable standing within the Republican Party.
A GOP operative, speaking to The Hill last week, suggested that Hinson, who transitioned from a reporting career to politics, might be the strongest contender to succeed Ernst. Ernst’s retirement has left an open Senate seat in Iowa, which could turn into a significant battleground in the 2026 midterms. Before the news of Ernst’s expected departure emerged, the nonpartisan Cook Political Report had rated the seat as “likely Republican.” However, with the seat now vacant, the dynamics of the race could shift considerably.
Democrats are already eyeing the opportunity to flip the seat as part of their broader strategy to regain control of the Senate. Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer of New York and Democratic Senate Campaign Committee Chair Kirsten Gillibrand, also from New York, released a joint statement on Sept. 2, 2025.
They expressed optimism about their party’s prospects following Ernst’s announcement. “Donald Trump and Senate Republicans’ devastating agenda has put their majority in jeopardy,” Schumer and Gillibrand declared.
“Republicans can see the writing on the wall: spiking costs and ripping away health care does so much damage to their states that they would rather leave the Senate than defend their actions to voters,” they continued. “Democrats are in a strong position to win seats and continue fighting for working families,” they concluded.
The potential contest for Iowa’s Senate seat underscores the high stakes of the 2026 midterm elections. With both parties gearing up for a fight, the open seat could become a focal point in the national battle for Senate control. Hinson’s possible entry into the race adds another layer of intrigue to an already evolving political landscape in Iowa.
As a staunch supporter of Trump, Hinson could rally significant Republican backing if she decides to run. Her background as a former reporter and current lawmaker may also resonate with voters seeking a fresh yet experienced voice. Meanwhile, Democrats are likely to mount a strong challenge, capitalizing on the open nature of the race.
The coming months will reveal whether Hinson officially declares her candidacy and who might emerge as her opponents. For now, her comments suggest a clear interest in advancing to the Senate and continuing to champion conservative priorities. Iowa voters will be watching closely as the field takes shape for what promises to be a pivotal election.